FAITH IN INDONESIA

FAITH IN INDONESIA
The shape of the world a generation from now will be influenced far more by how we communicate the values of our society to others than by military or diplomatic superiority. William Fulbright, 1964
Showing posts with label Gibran Raka. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gibran Raka. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 10, 2024

CAMPAIGN FATIGUE

 YAWNING DEMOCRACY IN INDONESIA




Is it possible to overdose on politics?  In Indonesia, yes. There’s a month left before the 14 February deciding date - and the road signs are showing wear and tear.

Literally, because the kerbside vinyl  banners featuring the faces of fist-shaking or praying candidates (it’s difficult to do both)  are getting flipped and ripped by the monsoon winds and rains now drenching Java.  

The campaigners’ teams aren’t mustering much energy to repair, suggesting  funds are as exhausted as enthusiasm.

Apart from social media, Indonesians get their voting info from the giant billboards polluting the streetscape - and TV.

The third of five scheduled debates between the three main contenders for the presidency was screened last Sunday - a blessing for insomniacs.

 US-educated former academic and Jakarta Governor Dr Anies Baswedan, one time Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo and cashiered general Prabowo Subianto tried to keep interest afloat.

But the show’s producers schooled in TV game shows thought this should be a flashy fun event, as though the winner would be waved away with a beribboned new motorbike rather than  the prize of running the world’s fourth largest country.

Apart from having more Muslims than any other nation while remaining constitutionally secular, Indonesia is also the third largest democracy - of a sort - though only this century.

For the 32 preceding years it was an autocracy-cum-kleptocracy known as Orde Baru (New Order) run by General Soeharto who ousted founding President Soekarno in an anti-Communist coup.

The Economist Intelligence Unit rated Indonesia a "flawed democracy" because of its limited accountability to voters, meaning parties stitch up deals without consulting members.

One expert has been blunter with the lable “a state of disorder” .  His reasoning is that President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo has “partnered with corrupt politicians, military figures, bureaucrats and businesses, who then used their influence to repurpose democratic institutions for the interests of their survival.”

Like Trump’s villainy doesn’t seem to worry GOP supporters in the US, Widodo’s alleged flaws haven’t stopped him recording popularity ratings above 80 percent, largely because he used to look like an ordinary bloke - one of us.  No longer.

Some readers may recall he took then PM Malcolm Turnbull to a market in 2015 where the two men were swamped by fans.  

That blusukan (impromptu visit) style has faded with tightened security, but his successes have been substantial:  New toll roads, railway lines and airports - plus health  insurance that so far seems to be doing better than Medicare in getting the needy into surgeries.

The Constitution limits him to two five-year terms, so his eldest son Gibran Rakabuming Raka, 36, has abandoned the PDI-P party of his father to couple as vice-president hopeful with Prabowo in a bid to create a dynasty.

To those raised in the political religion of the Westminster System  this arrangement is totally weird.  But it works in Indonesia because personalities are far more important than policies.

Gibran is young enough to be Prabowo’s grandson, so the image-makers have been erasing lines and creases on one man’s phiz - and adding to the other.

The TV producers thought it better to get acclaimed academics to put questions in sealed envelopes instead of asking seasoned journos to toss curlies.  This resulted in queries about geospatial technology, which your correspondent can guarantee is not foremost in the minds of hungry voters counting their rupiah.

This didn’t matter because the candidates ignored the questions and just said what they wanted, rarely bothering to explain how they’ll build the nation’s food security.  Once an exporter of rice Indonesia now relies on India and Vietnam to cope with more mouths.

Unrestrained building of homes and roads has seen once super-fertile lands covered by concrete and asphalt, an irreversible loss.

Polls in Indonesia are unreliable, so the indicators that Prabowo is the leading contender should get be treated with handfuls of salt.  But he seems to be outspending his opponents so getting more publicity.

His father-knows-best appeal is that he’ll return Indonesia to the state of low prices and little social disorder because the military will fix everything. In the mid 1980s a series of extra-judicial killings called petrus cleaned up real or imagined criminal gangs in big cities.

Prabowo’s opponents try to remind voters that the divorced son-in-law of Soeharto was banned from the US for many years because of alleged human rights abuses, including the 1998 kidnapping and disappearance of protesting students. He responds by saying that’s stuff from the past and it’s time to look ahead.

Like Trump, his wild assertions that Indonesia is being exploited by outsiders determined to break up the ‘unitary State’ and plunder its mineral wealth go largely unchallenged in the media.

Voting is not compulsory. The 2019 election saw a turnout of around 83 per cent when Jokowi trounced Prabowo by ten points.  The loser’s supporters then rioted with eight killed and around 300 injured in post-poll riots.   

Instead of being condemned, Prabowo was rewarded with the Defence Ministry - and that’s not a misprint.  With this platform he’s been able to convince some that he’s no longer a brutal authoritarian leftover from the Orde Baru, but a cuddly gramps.

If the Valentine’s Day vote isn’t a massacre but a run-off as no one contender scores more than 50 per cent of the vote, there’ll be a run-off on 26 June.  Then the electors will have to find the energy to do it all again.  

First published in Independent Australia 10 January 2024: https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/indonesia-failing-to-inject-energy-into-upcoming-election,18227


 

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday, October 24, 2023

MR CLEAN GETS DIRTY

 

 The making of a dynasty and unmaking of democracy                    

 

Indonesian politics are played hard. Corruption is a given, but a devious ploy to keep the present president wielding power has backfired with wholesale anger against a gross display of law-bending and nepotism. 

 

In one sly move, President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo, 62, has lost the backing of the moderate mainstream led by the Republic’s leading public intellectual, Goenawan Mohamad.(below, left)





 

The writer, poet and campaigner against despots was not a friend, but an open supporter and organiser for Jokowi in the 2014 and 2019 elections.

 

Past endorsements by Goenawan, 82, have helped sustain the President’s Mr Clean image at home and overseas in a country rotten with graft.  When first elected he was seen as an ‘avatar of reform’.

 

Jokowi had no links to the military, political Islam, big business or regal families yet got to the top as a darling because he was a competent, humble, small-town man of the people. He’s been dazzlingly popular with big business and the wee folk.

 

Then to widespread dismay came a push to extend his Constitutionally-limited two terms in power. When this failed he turned to family to remain as a dahlang - puppet master.

 

The tactic involved approving the nomination of his eldest son Gibran Rakabuming Raka, 36, as a vice president candidate. Not for his father’s party but his opponent’s.

 

This was altogether too much for Goenawan.

 

‘Jokowi should have retired in dignity,’ the veteran press freedom activist and founder-editor of Tempo magazine told Michael West Media.  ‘He did much that was good; we have free health care, better infrastructure and much more. The country is safe and the economy is growing. 

 

 ‘He once had my respect. No longer. I do not support politics being practised without values.’

 

Gibran is on the ticket of disgraced former general Prabowo Subianto, a former bitter rival to Jokowi in previous elections and head of the right-wing Gerindra (Great Indonesia Movement) party.  

 

Posters promoting Prabowo featuring Jokowi and Gibran are already on the streets, some confusingly captioned ‘Jokowi Party’. This is like having Albanese validate  Dutton as next PM.

 

To get in the running Gibran had to persuade the Constitutional Court to make an exception to the rule limiting the VP role to the over-40s.

 

This month the court ruled five to four in his favour. One of the assenting judges is the applicant’s uncle. The Australian-educated Gibran was formerly mayor of a small Central Java town, a position previously held by his father.

 

In an open letter to the President and published this month Goenawan wrote: ‘The sense of justice is violated, the agreed rules are betrayed … because the person we trusted turns out to be deceitful.

 

‘In 2022 I said Jokowi was the best president in Indonesian history until now.

 

‘But in 2023, I am reminded of the classic wisdom, that a leader who is admired and praised is a man who is tempted. Power and praise are evil for the person on the throne, and addictive.

 

 Prabowo expected that recruiting Gibran would rocket him to the front. But Goenawan’s surprise attack on Jokowi and public dismay at the fall of their idol and what appears to be judicial activism could well shoot down Prabowo’s chances.

 

In Indonesian affairs, there’s rarely a separation of faith and politics. Candidates’ personalities, families and quirks carry more clout than policy. 

 

The three main contestants are all male, Muslim and from Java.  They want  to rule a nation of close to 278 million (of course half are women) from 1,300 ethnic groups spread across the world’s largest archipelagic state of 6,000 inhabited islands.

 

The number of Christians in Indonesia almost equals the total population of Australia.

 

The campaign is revving hard and the people next door are being chased  down with promises of El Dorado and sometimes hard cash for their 14 February vote. The world’s largest single-day election for 20,000 national and local parliament seats is held once every five years. 

 

Voting isn’t compulsory but in 2019 the turnout of 83 per cent from 191 million registered voters suggests Indonesians like democracy (or a mid-week holiday), though the toll was awful; 456 election officers, 91 supervisory agents and 22 police officers died, mainly from stress and exhaustion. Seven million worked on the poll.

 

 

The election outcome will be critical for Australian trade and regional security, maybe even tourism if a fundamentalist candidate wins and diplomatic relations are threatened by xenophobic politicians.

 

Indonesian politics don’t follow the Westminster model of government and opposition.

Switches are rarely made on matters of principle. Minor parties get seduced into coalition with promises of access to ministries and the chance to reward donors, so opposition withers.

 

Although Indonesia became a republic in 1945, Javanese oligarchs flaunt their connections to the Sultanates of colonial days. Prabowo adds aristocracy to his credentials for office.

 

Deleted from the CV are these facts: He was kicked out of the military in 1998 for disobeying orders and fled to exile in Jordan. For several years his human rights record had him banned entry to the US where he’d studied the arts of killing at Fort Benning.

 

He was also booted from his 15-year marriage to Soeharto’s daughter  Siti Hediati Hariyadi. Their only son Didit Hediprasetyo is a fashion designer in Germany and is widely whispered to be gay.

 

So what? Only that last year his homeland legislators made adult consensual same-sex conduct illegal, bucking the international trend.

 

Now 72 Prabowo seems nothing like a general, apart from the strut and arrogance. He’s plump and short and it shows when standing close to his slim, young recruit.

 

Hung with the albatrosses of disgrace, divorce, and deviancy’ should have made Prabowo politically impotent.  The shame of losing by ten percentage points to Jokowi  in the 2019 contest, was then followed by Trump-like tantrums with accusations, appeals and riots. Eight people died and more than 600 were injured.

 

Then Jokowi made him Minister for Defence, following the Lyndon  Johnson fugly wisdom that it’s ‘better to have your enemies inside the tent pissing out, than outside the tent pissing in. 

That gave him a platform and an equal chance, say pollsters. He’s a US dollar multi-billionaire backed by a tame media, keen to protect the nation from multiple imagined threats.

 

These include the claim that Australia plans to Balkanise the ‘Unity State’ to plunder its mineral riches, and treating a US sci-fi fantasy about a 2030 apocalypse as a fact.

 

Like the referendum debate, the slur-throwers care only that some lies will stick to the blanket of indifference and confusion.

 

Prabowo changes his colours like the Pacific tree frog. One commentator put it succinctly: ‘He appeared as a patriotic soldier in his 2004 bid for the vice presidency (representing yet another party) … then as a rabble-rousing nationalist in the 2014 presidential race, before polarising the public as an aggrieved Islamist in 2019.’





Ganjar Pranowo with author

 

 Now he’s hunting the youth vote through social media and having Jokowi’s son as a subaltern. His main opponent is Ganjar Pranowo, 54.

 

Logically (by Western standards) the former Central Java Provincial Governor should succeed Jokowi as both are in the mildly left populist Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI_P) which has a majority (128 of 575) seats in the Legislative Assembly.

 

Their party boss is Megawati, daughter of founding president Soekarno.

 

Earlier this year she ordered Ganjar to reject Israel’s national team in the Under-20 World Cup football (soccer) tournament. Hosting rights were then lost to Argentina. Millions were angered by their sport being kicked by politicians. Seventeen to 39-year-olds make up half the voters.

 

Logically this cohort should back former Jakarta Governor Dr Anies Baswedan who appears to be the most acceptable candidate for Australia. He often visits so knows our views and values. 

 

He’s running behind largely because he hasn’t been blessed by Jokowi. The two men fell out when the reformist and ambitious Anies was Minister for Education and seen as a threat.

 

The US-educated former rector of a liberal university has Arab ancestry so pulls the Islamic vote.  Indonesia is a secular state but has the world’s largest population of Muslims. 

 

Ganjar is deft at handling controversy. In a 2019 podcast, he admitted to watching porn, risky in an uptight nation that bans sites like Tumblr and Vimeo.

 

He told an interviewer: ‘If I watch porn, what is wrong with that? I like it. I am an adult. I have a wife,’ Ganjar played the story for laughs suggesting it was a publicity stunt to tickle the lads.

 

The real porn stars are the power-crazed contenders raping democracy.

 

From now to Valentine’s Day there’ll be much hate and little love on the hustings. 

 

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First published in Michael West Media, 24 October 2023: https://michaelwest.com.au/indonesian-elections-the-making-of-a-dynasty-and-unmaking-of-democracy/